Grinfi Political Risk Edge

Grinfi Political Risk Edge

Will Starmer Survive the Political Firestorm?

Grinfi Political Risk Brief

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Grinfi Political Risk Edge
Feb 09, 2026
∙ Paid
L-R: British PM Keir Starmer and Morgan McSweeney, his most trusted aide, who resigned on Sunday after taking responsibility for wrongly advising the Prime Minister on the appointment of the Epstein-entangled Peter Mandelson; Photo Credit: The Sunday Guardian

Good Morning!

Welcome to this edition of Grinfi Political Risk Edge, your trusted source for expert political risk analysis and strategic intelligence. Thorough, insightful, and industry-focused. We deliver clarity in uncertainty and strength in decision-making. Anticipate, Adapt, and Excel!


But first, let’s begin the week with a laugh 😄 to brighten the mood. Remember, a little humor never hurts before moving on to the serious stuff.

Humor of the Week


From Grinfi Political Risk Observatory (GPRO), here’s what we’re monitoring:

High Impact Situational Updates


“At Grinfi, we track immediate fragility and systemic contagion to ensure leaders see risks before they spread.”

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Here are the key issues that are expected to shape political risk this week.

Peter Mandelson and Keir Starmer; Photo Credit: The Telegraph

UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer is currently fighting for his political life. His chief of staff, Morgan McSweeney, and another senior aide, Tim Allan, have resigned after Starmer admitted he was aware of Peter Mandelson’s Epstein ties when appointing him U.S. ambassador. UK 10-year gilt yields rose to 4.55% today as markets price leadership crisis and higher political risk.

Source: Financial Times

About 81 Labour MPs are needed to trigger a leadership election, and it appears that Starmer may not survive until

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