Will Starmer Survive the Political Firestorm?
Grinfi Political Risk Brief

Good Morning!
Welcome to this edition of Grinfi Political Risk Edge, your trusted source for expert political risk analysis and strategic intelligence. Thorough, insightful, and industry-focused. We deliver clarity in uncertainty and strength in decision-making. Anticipate, Adapt, and Excel!
But first, let’s begin the week with a laugh 😄 to brighten the mood. Remember, a little humor never hurts before moving on to the serious stuff.
From Grinfi Political Risk Observatory (GPRO), here’s what we’re monitoring:
High Impact Situational Updates
“At Grinfi, we track immediate fragility and systemic contagion to ensure leaders see risks before they spread.”
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Here are the key issues that are expected to shape political risk this week.
UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer is currently fighting for his political life. His chief of staff, Morgan McSweeney, and another senior aide, Tim Allan, have resigned after Starmer admitted he was aware of Peter Mandelson’s Epstein ties when appointing him U.S. ambassador. UK 10-year gilt yields rose to 4.55% today as markets price leadership crisis and higher political risk.
About 81 Labour MPs are needed to trigger a leadership election, and it appears that Starmer may not survive until



