Grinfi Political Risk Edge

Grinfi Political Risk Edge

Trump’s Gaza Peace Plan Unveiled: What’s in It?, Takaichi Becomes Japan’s New Prime Minister, Youth Protests Rock Morocco, Peru, and Madagascar, Drone Intrusions Escalate in Europe, and More

Grinfi Political Risk Intelligence Brief

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Grinfi Political Risk Edge
Oct 05, 2025
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Scenes from a GenZ anti-government protest in Madagascar; Photo Credit: Le Monde

Welcome to this week’s edition of Grinfi Political Risk Edge, your trusted source for expert political risk analysis and strategic intelligence. Thorough, insightful, and industry-focused. In this issue, we examine key geopolitical events shaping global markets and provide deep, beyond-the-headlines assessment. We deliver clarity in uncertainty and strength in decision-making. Anticipate, Adapt, and Excel!


But first, let’s begin the week with a laugh 😄 to brighten the mood.

Humor of the Week


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“Ollis salus populi suprema lex esto”
(Let the welfare of the people be the supreme law.)

Cicero. De Legibus. Translated by Clinton Walker Keyes. Loeb Classical Library 213. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 1928.


Disclaimer: The opinion expressed in this quote does not represent our views but is intended for reflection purposes only.

From Grinfi Political Risk Observatory (GPRO), here’s what we’re monitoring:

High Impact Situational Updates


EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Last week, several strategic events reshaped the global risk environment with direct consequences for security, markets, and regulation.

“At Grinfi, we track immediate/direct fragility and systemic contagion (cascading effect), ensuring leaders see risks before they spread.”

In the United States, the federal government entered a shutdown on October 1 after Congress failed to pass a budget. An alternative funding proposal brought forth by the Democrats was blocked in the Senate, prolonging the deadlock.

Photo Credit: BBC News

Meanwhile, President Trump’s decision to freeze billions in federal funds to Democrat-led states has deepened partisan divides, while centrist Republicans voiced concern about the broader impact. Federal agencies have begun contingency operations, and uncertainty about the shutdown’s duration has raised questions over the availability of public services, the fate of the federal workforce, and the politicization of fiscal management.

Photo Credit: Financial Times

At the same time, President Trump introduced a 20-point peace plan for Gaza, proposing amnesty for some Hamas members,

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