Grinfi Political Risk Edge

Grinfi Political Risk Edge

Trump Orders Covert CIA Operations in Venezuela, S&P Downgrades France's Credit Rating, AU Suspends Madagascar Over Military Takeover, Germany Pushes for A Pan-European Stock Exchange, and More

Grinfi Political Risk Intelligence Brief

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Grinfi Political Risk Edge
Oct 19, 2025
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French Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu after surviving two no-confidence votes in the National Assembly last week; Photo Credit: BBC

Welcome to this week’s edition of Grinfi Political Risk Edge, your trusted source for expert political risk analysis and strategic intelligence. Thorough, insightful, and industry-focused. In this issue, we examine key geopolitical events shaping global markets and provide deep, beyond-the-headlines assessment. We deliver clarity in uncertainty and strength in decision-making. Anticipate, Adapt, and Excel!


But first, the Grinfi Geostrategic Pressure Points September Report has been published. Read it here.

Now, let’s begin the week with a laugh 😄 to brighten the mood.

Humor of the Week


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“On ne se discipline pas soi-même; des enfants réunis sans maître ne s’élèvent pas; ils jouent et perdent leur temps. De la foule ne peut sortir assez de raison pour gouverner et réformer un peuple.”
(One does not discipline oneself; children put together without a master do not raise themselves; they play and waste their time. From the mass cannot emerge enough reason to govern and reform a people.)

Ernest Renan, La Réforme intellectuelle et morale. Paris: Lévy Frères, 1871. Accessed via Gallica, Bibliothèque nationale de France. https://gallica.bnf.fr/ark:/12148/bpt6k58130553


Disclaimer: The opinion expressed in this quote does not represent our views but is intended for reflection purposes only.

From Grinfi Political Risk Observatory (GPRO), here’s what we’re monitoring:

High Impact Situational Updates


EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Last week, several strategic events reshaped the global risk environment with direct consequences for security, markets, and regulation.

“At Grinfi, we track immediate/direct fragility and systemic contagion (cascading effect), ensuring leaders see risks before they spread.”

In the United States, Washington adopted a more assertive stance on both foreign and domestic fronts.

Photo Credit: AlJazeera

President Donald Trump has confirmed that he had authorized covert CIA

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