Macron Reappoints Lecornu as PM, Peru’s Congress Impeaches President, Cameroon Holds Crucial Election, Madagascar’s Government Nears Collapse, U.S.–China Trade Talks Suffer Setback, and More
Grinfi Political Risk Intelligence Brief
Welcome to this week’s edition of Grinfi Political Risk Edge, your trusted source for expert political risk analysis and strategic intelligence. Thorough, insightful, and industry-focused. In this issue, we examine key geopolitical events shaping global markets and provide deep, beyond-the-headlines assessment. We deliver clarity in uncertainty and strength in decision-making. Anticipate, Adapt, and Excel!
But first, let’s begin the week with a laugh 😄 to brighten the mood.
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“Lex nihil aliud est quam quaedam rationis ordinatio ad bonum commune, ab eo qui curam communitatis habet, promulgata.”
(Law is nothing else than an ordinance of reason for the common good, made by him who has care of the community, and promulgated.)
Thomas Aquinas, Summa Theologiae, I–II, q.90, a.4, trans. Fathers of the English Dominican Province (London: Burns, Oates & Washbourne, 1912).
Disclaimer: The opinion expressed in this quote does not represent our views but is intended for reflection purposes only.
From Grinfi Political Risk Observatory (GPRO), here’s what we’re monitoring:
High Impact Situational Updates
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Last week, several strategic events reshaped the global risk environment with direct consequences for security, markets, and regulation.
“At Grinfi, we track immediate/direct fragility and systemic contagion (cascading effect), ensuring leaders see risks before they spread.”
In the United States, trade tensions with China escalated after President Donald Trump announced sweeping 100% tariffs on all Chinese exports, effective November 1. The announcement followed Beijing’s tighter restrictions on rare earth materials and magnets that Washington cast as economic coercion. The U.S administration simultaneously expanded export controls to cover critical software and advanced technology bound for China, targeting areas such as AI design tools and semiconductors.
Meanwhile, The Department of Commerce earlier closed a licensing loophole
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