From Around the Globe: Grinfi Special Focus on Africa and Asia
Political Risk Weekly Roundup Intelligence Brief
Did you miss the latest geopolitical developments that could impact your business? Today, February 9, Ecuador is holding a crucial election between incumbent Daniel Naboa and challenger Luisa Gonzalez, a contest that could shape the country’s economic and security future amid growing instability. Are you also concerned about the emerging risks in Africa and Asia?
In this edition, we provide in-depth analysis of critical risks across the energy, defense, and DeFi sectors. Key issues we cover include rising defense spending in Asia, escalating tensions between Congo and Rwanda, and the intensifying US-China trade conflict. We also examine China’s ten-fold expanding military infrastructure (military-industrial complex), recent US airstrikes in Somalia, the conflictual and turbocharged Indo-Pacific, changing energy dynamics in Europe, and the EU’s push for strategic autonomy and renewed trade partnerships (with Chile, for instance).
Additionally, we highlight potential supply chain disruptions, particularly with heightened US scrutiny of Hong Kong due to Chinese influence, and speculation over the future direction of trade between the US, Canada, Mexico, and the EU. Above all, we identify key geopolitical trends to watch, helping you stay ahead of potential business disruptions.