Fed Cuts Rates, EU Freezes Russian Assets, Australia Bans Social Media for Under 16s, Kast Wins in Chile Runoff, BOE, BOJ, and ECB to Decide Rates, Lecornu Secures Social Security Budget, and More
Grinfi Political Risk Brief
Good Morning! Welcome to this week’s edition of Grinfi Political Risk Edge, your trusted source for expert political risk analysis and strategic intelligence. Thorough, insightful, and industry-focused. We deliver clarity in uncertainty and strength in decision-making. Anticipate, Adapt, and Excel!
But first, let’s begin the week with a laugh 😄 to brighten the mood. Remember, a little humor never hurts before diving into the serious stuff.
From Grinfi Political Risk Observatory (GPRO), here’s what we’re monitoring:
High Impact Situational Updates
“At Grinfi, we track immediate fragility and systemic contagion to ensure leaders see risks before they spread.”
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Four things really matter this week. First, Thailand and Cambodia are at war. The Trump brokered ceasefire collapsed. Airstrikes and ground troops have led to over 600,000 displaced civilians. Fighting has continued despite claims by the U.S. President on Truth Social last week that all hostilities had ceased and a new ceasefire had been agreed upon.
All land border crossings have been closed, and Thailand has announced a curfew in its Trat province.
Second, central banks are moving in opposite directions. Last week, the Fed cut rates but signaled a pause. The Bank of Japan is set to raise rates to the highest level since 1995. The Bank of England is expected to cut, while the European Central Bank (ECB) holds.
Third, Chile elected Jose Antonio Kast president with 58% of the vote, marking the country’s sharpest rightward shift since democracy returned.
Fourth, Australia became the first country to ban social media for